Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3048.206745 3292.664182 3540.291624 3809.586070 4093.856144 4384.687729 4704.390502
2024-12-15 2686.023865 3053.573992 3439.662398 3874.204979 4348.393917 4848.896749 5415.841684
2024-12-22 2397.128110 2833.540633 3304.700470 3848.621062 4456.607377 5112.712262 5871.646601
2024-12-29 2242.760275 2737.182385 3282.982276 3925.978480 4658.437031 5462.576381 6407.792374
2025-01-05 2086.107899 2621.494291 3224.565248 3948.040464 4786.064829 5720.021181 6833.156473
2025-01-12 1943.015197 2509.141158 3158.866609 3951.352077 4883.288753 5935.957843 7206.098801
2025-01-19 1755.599865 2331.692834 3005.618712 3841.525806 4839.489126 5981.837016 7376.918018
2025-01-26 1710.292730 2321.753420 3047.713849 3959.799820 5061.257110 6334.747667 7904.053812
2025-02-02 1649.280214 2287.740223 3056.829987 4035.232456 5229.889489 6624.417011 8357.649890
2025-02-09 1557.091006 2209.140596 3006.537352 4034.073979 5302.959399 6798.586947 8673.594455
2025-02-16 1460.324272 2119.435239 2937.724652 4005.705655 5339.244514 6926.050066 8932.099539
2025-02-23 1402.874550 2077.467686 2926.198373 4046.315364 5458.475640 7152.618024 9309.795052
2025-03-02 1327.697908 2009.872923 2880.642753 4043.717263 5525.199756 7318.003541 9618.197681
2025-03-09 1286.882245 1986.336343 2890.583279 4111.072439 5679.595333 7591.962012 10061.549075
2025-03-16 1211.106220 1911.392648 2829.893416 4084.329406 5712.636061 7714.466675 10318.253293
2025-03-23 1182.897258 1900.489595 2852.614343 4165.181244 5882.369763 8007.255085 10786.637177
2025-03-30 1134.783452 1859.238209 2832.655783 4188.236550 5976.756805 8205.399847 11137.991812
2025-04-06 1082.640692 1809.752887 2799.368351 4191.697141 6044.378803 8369.127165 11446.454050
2025-04-13 992.331695 1700.898953 2680.779308 4076.912724 5954.059203 8329.556483 11496.798021
2025-04-20 988.540587 1718.862770 2738.032617 4200.524775 6178.390433 8693.219878 12059.692311
2025-04-27 970.194262 1714.099822 2762.721766 4279.340349 6343.572332 8981.832123 12528.990763
2025-05-04 927.145382 1670.133241 2730.288430 4278.130041 6401.038852 9131.059424 12820.656835
2025-05-11 877.704810 1614.175676 2678.709091 4248.491319 6418.828241 9227.835502 13044.676351